By Eric Martin
March 5 (Bloomberg) -- The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell
20 percent since Inauguration Day, the fastest drop under a new
president, as investors speculated Barack Obama’s stimulus
measures won’t revive the economy anytime soon.
The Dow average slid 4.1 percent to 6,594.44 today, its 12th
decline in 15 days, as the worst start to a year for U.S. stocks
deepened. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index lost 4.3 percent to
682.55, extending its retreat to 19.7 percent since Jan. 20.
“It’s the Obama bear market,” said Dan Veru, who helps
oversee $2.8 billion at Palisade Capital Management in Fort Lee,
New Jersey. “We don’t know what the rules are in so many
different areas the government is touching.”
The 20.4 percent drop in the Dow is the steepest for a new
administration in at least 90 years, according to data compiled
by Bloomberg. The Dow tumbled 25 percent in 2009, its worst
annual start, as unemployment climbed and bank losses increased.
The U.S. economy contracted at a 6.2 percent annual rate in
the fourth quarter, the most since 1982, the Commerce Department
said last week. Unemployment jumped to 7.6 percent, the highest
since 1992, as Americans fell behind on their mortgages and banks
seized homes at a record pace.
Obama won approval from Congress last month for $787 billion
of spending and tax cuts to reverse the recession. He proposed
measures to stem home foreclosures and a budget that more than
doubles spending to bail out banks. The moves haven’t halted the
Dow’s 17-month sell-off to the lowest level in almost 12 years.
Citigroup, GM
Citigroup Inc. plunged 71 percent since Obama took office to
$1.02, the steepest decline in the Dow, after the government
proposed taking a 36 percent stake in the New York-based lender.
Detroit-based General Motors Corp. tumbled 53 percent after the
largest U.S. automaker said it needs more government aid. General
Electric Co., located in Fairfield, Connecticut, erased half its
value on concern losses will rise at GE Capital, threatening the
parent company’s top credit rating.
“Prospects for recovery in the financial sector, despite
all the government help, still seem rather remote,” said John
Carey, who manages $8 billion at Pioneer Investment Management in
Boston. “We’ve had a weak economy for a couple of years, and we
aren’t seeing the stimulus working at this point. That is what
weighs on investors’ minds.’’
The 30-stock Dow average took eight months to decline 20
percent following the inauguration of George W. Bush, reaching
the level on Sept. 20, 2001, nine days after terrorists attacked
the World Trade Center in New York and Pentagon in Washington.
‘29 Crash
The crash of 1929 occurred seven months into the presidency
of Herbert Hoover. Hoover presided over an 89 percent plunge in
the Dow between September 1929 and July 1932, the steepest
retreat ever.
The Dow slipped into a bear market on July 2, 2008, when a
167-point decrease gave it a 20 percent loss from its record
14,164.53 on Oct. 9, 2007. Unlike the Standard & Poor’s 500
Index, the Dow’s rally from its November low of 7,552.29 fell
short of a 20 percent bull market advance, ending at 19.6 percent
on Jan. 2.
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